Market Regime
Current US market context from volatility, trend, and credit inputs
NORMAL
Available indicators are broadly supportive — risk-on context
Available inputs are broadly supportive. This is context, not a forecast.
VIX (Fear Index) Normal
18.7
CBOE Volatility Index — measures expected 30-day market volatility. Higher = more fear.
SPY vs 200-Day MA Above MA200
+6.2%
SPY: $739.09 MA200: $695.81
Price relative to 200-day moving average. Above = bullish trend. Below = bearish trend.
HY Credit Spread Normal
2.79%
ICE BofA High Yield OAS — wider spread = more credit stress, risk-off.
How to Read
Normal (Green)
Available volatility, trend, and credit inputs are broadly supportive.
Caution (Yellow)
One or more indicators showing stress. Reduce leverage, tighten stops, monitor daily.
Crisis (Red)
Multiple indicators in danger zone. Capital preservation mode. Consider hedges.
Last updated: 7/28/2026, 1:42:37 AM